VCU
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 83.2023Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 18- 3 214 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 15-16 217 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 4-11 221 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 12-10 225 H Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 15- 4 304 H William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 20-11 307 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 6-15 314 A St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 15- 6 318 A Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 7- 5 321 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 10- 6 327 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 16-10 331 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 8-13 404 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 19- 6 411 A Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 14-11 418 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 16-15 425 H George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 13- 2 501 N St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 18-11 503 A Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Howard (DC) 18- 3 15 17 0.00
214 H UNC-Charlotte 15-16 -1 6 --- -6.69
217 A Virginia Tech 4-11 -7 -5 -1.71
221 A Old Dominion 12-10 2 6 - -3.67
225 H Longwood 15- 4 11 13 -1.73
304 H William & Mary 20-11 9 5 ++ 4.31
307 H Richmond 6-15 -9 -5 - -3.60
314 A St Bonaventure 15- 6 9 -1 +++ 9.56
318 A Davidson 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 4.75
321 H La Salle 10- 6 4 13 --- -8.94
327 A George Washington 16-10 6 2 ++ 4.07
331 H Elon 8-13 -5 2 --- -6.63
404 H Duquesne 19- 6 13 11 1.54
411 A Rhode Island 14-11 3 3 -0.38
418 A St Josephs (PA) 16-15 1 -2 + 2.77
425 H George Mason 13- 2 11 9 + 2.40
501 N St Bonaventure 18-11 7 1 +++ 6.19
503 A Davidson 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H UNC-Charlotte 15-16 -1 6 --- -6.69 321 H La Salle 10- 6 4 13 --- -8.94 331 H Elon 8-13 -5 2 --- -6.63 221 A Old Dominion 12-10 2 6 - -3.67 307 H Richmond 6-15 -9 -5 - -3.60 503 A Davidson 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A St Bonaventure 15- 6 9 -1 +++ 9.56 501 N St Bonaventure 18-11 7 1 +++ 6.19 304 H William & Mary 20-11 9 5 ++ 4.31 318 A Davidson 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 4.75 327 A George Washington 16-10 6 2 ++ 4.07 418 A St Josephs (PA) 16-15 1 -2 + 2.77 425 H George Mason 13- 2 11 9 + 2.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 18- 3 -32.13 8.03 -1.37 0.96 12.83
3 H UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 15-16 -21.02 19.15 -1.37 0.96 -10.77
3 A Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 4-11 -12.77 27.39 1.37 0.96 -5.49
3 A Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 12-10 -23.74 16.43 1.37 0.96 34.26
3 H Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 15- 4 -28.06 12.11 -1.37 0.96 20.67
3 H William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 20-11 -20.02 20.15 -1.37 0.96 36.16
3 H Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 6-15 -9.93 30.24 -1.37 0.96 -5.44
3 A St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 15- 6 -17.51 22.66 1.37 0.96 46.25
3 A Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 7- 5 -15.32 24.85 1.37 0.96 50.46
3 H La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 10- 6 -28.27 11.90 -1.37 0.96 20.27
3 A George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 16-10 -19.99 20.17 1.37 0.96 41.46
3 H Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 8-13 -16.96 23.21 -1.37 0.96 -8.82
3 H Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 19- 6 -26.79 13.37 -1.37 0.96 23.11
3 A Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 14-11 -21.45 18.72 1.37 0.96 38.67
3 A St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 16-15 -16.29 23.88 1.37 0.96 48.59
3 H George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 13- 2 -23.93 16.24 -1.37 0.96 28.63
3 N St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 18-11 -17.51 22.66 -0.00 0.96 43.62
3 A Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 5-10 -15.32 24.85 1.37 0.96 -6.71
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407.75
|
winning pts = 444.9797 losing points = -37.2274
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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